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V-Lab

iShares MSCI Australia ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, September 22nd, 2026

1 Day

19.53%

decreased by 0.54%

1 Week

19.69%

decreased by 0.38%

1 Month

20.22%

increased by 0.15%

Analysis last updated: Monday, September 21, 2026 at 09:40 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of iShares MSCI Australia ETF GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 1, 1996 to Sep 18, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0384
4.42***
αARCH0.0199
2.50**
βGARCH0.9106
117.33***
γleverage0.1043
4.85***

0.983

Persistence

40d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0384
4.42***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0199
2.50**
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9106
117.33***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1043
4.85***

Persistence:

0.983

Half-life:

40 days