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V-Lab

iShares MSCI Australia ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

15.32%

decreased by 0.10%

1 Week

15.68%

increased by 0.26%

1 Month

16.88%

increased by 1.46%

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 21, 2026 at 10:20 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of iShares MSCI Australia ETF GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 1, 1996 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0383
17.67***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0200
10.04***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9107
469.20***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1040
19.30***

Persistence:

0.983

Half-life:

40 days