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V-Lab

iShares MSCI Australia ETF GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, September 11th, 2026

1 Day

18.38%

increased by 1.78%

1 Week

18.66%

increased by 2.06%

1 Month

19.61%

increased by 3.01%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, September 10, 2026 at 09:46 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of iShares MSCI Australia ETF GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 1, 1996 to Sep 4, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 41 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 41 days.

σ

GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 41-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0428
5.20***
αARCH0.0971
8.84***
βGARCH0.8863
81.05***

0.983

Persistence

41d

Half-life
σ

GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0428
5.20***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0971
8.84***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8863
81.05***

Persistence:

0.983

Half-life:

41 days