Skip to main content
V-Lab

State Street Industrial Select Sector SPDR ETF GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026

1 Day

19.15%

decreased by 0.94%

1 Week

19.20%

decreased by 0.89%

1 Month

19.36%

decreased by 0.73%

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 7, 2026 at 10:48 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of State Street Industrial Select Sector SPDR ETF GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 22, 1998 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 43 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 43 days.

σ

GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0268
19.71***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0951
37.07***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8889
326.07***

Persistence:

0.984

Half-life:

43 days