V-Lab
iShares MSCI Sweden Capped ETF GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, September 8th, 2026
1 Day
17.79%
decreased by 0.47%
1 Week
18.13%
decreased by 0.13%
1 Month
19.34%
increased by 1.08%
Analysis last updated: Friday, September 4, 2026 at 10:21 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Apr 9, 1996 to Sep 4, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 65 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 65 days.
σ
GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0378 | 3.99*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0840 | 9.43*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9054 | 98.72*** |
Persistence:
0.989
Half-life:
65 days
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