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V-Lab

iShares MSCI Sweden Capped ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 11th, 2026

1 Day

16.44%

decreased by 0.23%

1 Week

17.07%

increased by 0.40%

1 Month

18.75%

increased by 2.08%

Analysis last updated: Monday, August 10, 2026 at 09:40 PM UTC

Date Range:

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to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

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10Y ·

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graph of iShares MSCI Sweden Capped ETF MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 9, 1996 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

76
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0200
7.71***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8789
274.15***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1129
26.85***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0131
6.57***
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0348
4.84***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9604
120.45***

Persistence:

0.955

Half-life:

15 days