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V-Lab

iShares MSCI Sweden Capped ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

16.31%

increased by 0.01%

1 Week

16.86%

increased by 0.56%

1 Month

18.42%

increased by 2.12%

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 21, 2026 at 10:24 PM UTC

Date Range:

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to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of iShares MSCI Sweden Capped ETF MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 9, 1996 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

76
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0200
7.73***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8796
275.21***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1128
26.85***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0125
6.60***
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0337
4.85***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9618
125.12***

Persistence:

0.956

Half-life:

15 days