V-Lab
iShares MSCI Sweden Capped ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 11th, 2026
1 Day
16.43%
decreased by 0.33%
1 Week
16.82%
increased by 0.06%
1 Month
18.21%
increased by 1.45%
Analysis last updated: Monday, August 10, 2026 at 09:39 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Apr 9, 1996 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 322% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0395 | 15.00*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0278 | 11.94*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9151 | 474.15*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0896 | 17.26*** |
Persistence:
0.988
Half-life:
56 days
Other iShares MSCI Sweden Capped ETF Analyses
Other GJR-GARCH Analyses on ETFs