V-Lab
iShares MSCI Sweden Capped ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
15.93%
increased by 0.11%
1 Week
16.34%
increased by 0.52%
1 Month
17.80%
increased by 1.98%
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 21, 2026 at 10:20 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Apr 9, 1996 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 323% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0394 | 14.96*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0278 | 11.93*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9150 | 474.11*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0898 | 17.30*** |
Persistence:
0.988
Half-life:
56 days
Other iShares MSCI Sweden Capped ETF Analyses
Other GJR-GARCH Analyses on ETFs