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V-Lab

iShares MSCI Sweden Capped ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 28th, 2026

1 Day

19.09%

decreased by 0.36%

1 Week

19.37%

decreased by 0.08%

1 Month

20.38%

increased by 0.93%

Analysis last updated: Monday, July 27, 2026 at 09:32 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of iShares MSCI Sweden Capped ETF GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 9, 1996 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 318% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0395
14.95***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0280
12.00***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9152
473.69***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0891
17.17***

Persistence:

0.988

Half-life:

56 days