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V-Lab
V-Lab

iShares MSCI Sweden Capped ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, September 23rd, 2026

1 Day

17.70%

decreased by 0.36%

1 Week

18.04%

decreased by 0.02%

1 Month

19.22%

increased by 1.16%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, September 22, 2026 at 09:38 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of iShares MSCI Sweden Capped ETF GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 9, 1996 to Sep 18, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 323% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 323% more than positive returns
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0392
3.73***
αARCH0.0277
2.98***
βGARCH0.9153
118.84***
γleverage0.0896
4.32***

0.988

Persistence

56d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0392
3.73***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0277
2.98***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9153
118.84***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0896
4.32***

Persistence:

0.988

Half-life:

56 days