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iShares MSCI Netherlands ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, October 6th, 2026

1 Day

19.46%

decreased by 0.70%

1 Week

19.62%

decreased by 0.54%

1 Month

20.23%

increased by 0.07%

Analysis last updated: Monday, October 5, 2026 at 09:40 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/05/2024

to

10/05/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of iShares MSCI Netherlands ETF GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 2, 1996 to Oct 2, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0335
4.08***
αARCH0.0266
2.77***
βGARCH0.9055
115.97***
γleverage0.1090
4.93***

0.987

Persistence

51d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0335
4.08***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0266
2.77***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9055
115.97***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1090
4.93***

Persistence:

0.987

Half-life:

51 days