V-Lab
iShares MSCI Netherlands ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 28th, 2026
1 Day
24.37%
decreased by 0.41%
1 Week
24.39%
decreased by 0.39%
1 Month
24.46%
decreased by 0.32%
Analysis last updated: Monday, July 27, 2026 at 09:32 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Apr 2, 1996 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0331 | 16.11*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0260 | 10.75*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9062 | 464.50*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1090 | 19.70*** |
Persistence:
0.987
Half-life:
52 days
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