V-Lab
iShares MSCI Netherlands ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, August 20th, 2026
1 Day
21.48%
decreased by 0.02%
1 Week
21.59%
increased by 0.09%
1 Month
21.97%
increased by 0.47%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 19, 2026 at 09:34 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Apr 2, 1996 to Aug 14, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0335 | 16.26*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0265 | 11.04*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9055 | 463.41*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1093 | 19.70*** |
Persistence:
0.987
Half-life:
52 days
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