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V-Lab

iShares MSCI Netherlands ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, September 14th, 2026

1 Day

18.12%

decreased by 0.63%

1 Week

18.33%

decreased by 0.42%

1 Month

19.11%

increased by 0.36%

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 11, 2026 at 11:23 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of iShares MSCI Netherlands ETF GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 2, 1996 to Sep 11, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0336
4.09***
αARCH0.0266
2.77***
βGARCH0.9053
115.83***
γleverage0.1093
4.94***

0.987

Persistence

51d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0336
4.09***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0266
2.77***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9053
115.83***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1093
4.94***

Persistence:

0.987

Half-life:

51 days