Skip to main content
V-Lab

iShares MSCI Netherlands ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 28th, 2026

1 Day

24.37%

decreased by 0.41%

1 Week

24.39%

decreased by 0.39%

1 Month

24.46%

decreased by 0.32%

Analysis last updated: Monday, July 27, 2026 at 09:32 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of iShares MSCI Netherlands ETF GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 2, 1996 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0331
16.11***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0260
10.75***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9062
464.50***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1090
19.70***

Persistence:

0.987

Half-life:

52 days