Skip to main content
V-Lab
V-Lab

iShares MSCI Netherlands ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, October 19th, 2026

1 Day

19.86%

decreased by 0.71%

1 Week

20.01%

decreased by 0.56%

1 Month

20.56%

decreased by 0.01%

Analysis last updated: Friday, October 16, 2026 at 10:40 PM UTC

Press Delete or Backspace to remove this series.
Date Range:

from

10/16/2024

to

10/16/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of iShares MSCI Netherlands ETF GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 2, 1996 to Oct 16, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0334
4.08***
αARCH0.0266
2.77***
βGARCH0.9057
116.06***
γleverage0.1084
4.92***

0.987

Persistence

51d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0334
4.08***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0266
2.77***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9057
116.06***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1084
4.92***

Persistence:

0.987

Half-life:

51 days