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V-Lab

iShares MSCI Netherlands ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, August 20th, 2026

1 Day

21.48%

decreased by 0.02%

1 Week

21.59%

increased by 0.09%

1 Month

21.97%

increased by 0.47%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 19, 2026 at 09:34 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of iShares MSCI Netherlands ETF GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 2, 1996 to Aug 14, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0335
16.26***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0265
11.04***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9055
463.41***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1093
19.70***

Persistence:

0.987

Half-life:

52 days