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V-Lab

Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026

1 Day

19.22%

decreased by 0.63%

1 Week

19.26%

decreased by 0.59%

1 Month

19.43%

decreased by 0.42%

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 7, 2026 at 10:14 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund MEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 3, 2006 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 60 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 60 days.

μ

MEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0202
6.27***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1515
33.09***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8371
247.21***

Persistence:

0.989

Half-life:

60 days