V-Lab
First Trust India Nifty 50 Equ MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026
1 Day
14.89%
increased by 0.10%
1 Week
15.43%
increased by 0.64%
1 Month
17.21%
increased by 2.42%
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 7, 2026 at 09:43 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
May 16, 2012 to Aug 7, 2026Illiquid Asset
Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 40 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 40 days.
μ
MEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0479 | 11.27*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1303 | 22.03*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8527 | 171.85*** |
Persistence:
0.983
Half-life:
40 days
Other First Trust India Nifty 50 Equ Analyses
Other MEM Analyses on ETFs