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V-Lab

First Trust India Nifty 50 Equ MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026

1 Day

14.89%

increased by 0.10%

1 Week

15.43%

increased by 0.64%

1 Month

17.21%

increased by 2.42%

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 7, 2026 at 09:43 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of First Trust India Nifty 50 Equ MEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 16, 2012 to Aug 7, 2026
Illiquid Asset

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 40 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 40 days.

μ

MEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0479
11.27***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1303
22.03***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8527
171.85***

Persistence:

0.983

Half-life:

40 days