V-Lab
First Trust India Nifty 50 Equ Asy. Power MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 12th, 2026
1 Day
14.05%
decreased by 0.32%
1 Week
14.61%
increased by 0.24%
1 Month
16.44%
increased by 2.07%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 11, 2026 at 09:54 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
May 16, 2012 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a notable leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 78% more than equivalent positive returns.
μ
APMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0464 | 14.37*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1243 | 24.57*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8541 | 177.64*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1411 | 6.39*** |
δ power Transformation power | 2.0315 | 37.79*** |
Persistence:
0.982
Half-life:
39 days
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