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V-Lab

First Trust India Nifty 50 Equ Asy. Power MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 12th, 2026

1 Day

14.05%

decreased by 0.32%

1 Week

14.61%

increased by 0.24%

1 Month

16.44%

increased by 2.07%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 11, 2026 at 09:54 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of First Trust India Nifty 50 Equ APMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 16, 2012 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a notable leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 78% more than equivalent positive returns.

μ

APMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0464
14.37***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1243
24.57***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8541
177.64***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1411
6.39***
δ

power

Transformation power

2.0315
37.79***

Persistence:

0.982

Half-life:

39 days