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First Trust India Nifty 50 Equ MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, November 10th, 2026

1 Day

14.91%

decreased by 0.13%

1 Week

15.26%

increased by 0.22%

1 Month

16.38%

increased by 1.34%

Analysis last updated: Monday, November 9, 2026 at 10:22 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

11/09/2024

to

11/09/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of First Trust India Nifty 50 Equ MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 28, 2012 to Nov 6, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow101
αARCH0.0000
0.00
βGARCH0.9084
40.20***
γleverage0.0828
4.26***
λ₁tau intercept0.5500
0.40
λ₂forecast adj.0.3588
0.44
λ₃tau persistence0.2854
0.17

0.950

Persistence

13d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

101
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9084
40.20***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0828
4.26***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.5500
0.40
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.3588
0.44
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.2854
0.17

Persistence:

0.950

Half-life:

13 days