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V-Lab

First Trust India Nifty 50 Equ EGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 12th, 2026

1 Day

17.24%

decreased by 0.13%

1 Week

17.51%

increased by 0.14%

1 Month

18.43%

increased by 1.06%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 11, 2026 at 09:54 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of First Trust India Nifty 50 Equ EGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 28, 2012 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

The leverage effect is captured by the negative gamma (gamma = -0.0950), confirming that negative shocks increase volatility more than positive shocks of equal magnitude.

σ

EGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0223
1.63
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0427
8.16***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9641
179.71***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0950
-15.83***

Persistence:

0.964

Half-life:

19 days