V-Lab
First Trust India Nifty 50 Equ EGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 12th, 2026
1 Day
17.24%
decreased by 0.13%
1 Week
17.51%
increased by 0.14%
1 Month
18.43%
increased by 1.06%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 11, 2026 at 09:54 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Feb 28, 2012 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
The leverage effect is captured by the negative gamma (gamma = -0.0950), confirming that negative shocks increase volatility more than positive shocks of equal magnitude.
σ
EGARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0223 | 1.63 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0427 | 8.16*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9641 | 179.71*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0950 | -15.83*** |
Persistence:
0.964
Half-life:
19 days
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