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First Trust India Nifty 50 Equ GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, September 8th, 2026

1 Day

11.82%

decreased by 1.07%

1 Week

11.67%

decreased by 1.22%

1 Month

11.11%

decreased by 1.78%

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 4, 2026 at 09:39 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of First Trust India Nifty 50 Equ GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 28, 2012 to Sep 4, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 54 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 54 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 2.83 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 54-day half-lifev = 2.83 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0000
αARCH0.0712
39.88***
βGARCH0.9873
912.45***
νDF2.8262
27.03***

0.987

Persistence

54d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0000
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0712
39.88***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9873
912.45***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

2.8262
27.03***

Persistence:

0.987

Half-life:

54 days