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V-Lab

First Trust India Nifty 50 Equ GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 12th, 2026

1 Day

12.78%

decreased by 2.31%

1 Week

12.15%

decreased by 2.94%

1 Month

10.10%

decreased by 4.99%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 11, 2026 at 09:55 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of First Trust India Nifty 50 Equ GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 28, 2012 to Aug 11, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 13 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 13 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 2.46 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0000
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1053
412.98***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9494
1,751.63***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

2.4637
267.13***

Persistence:

0.949

Half-life:

13 days