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V-Lab

Fundstrat Granny Shots US Small- & Mid-Cap ETF Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 28th, 2026

1 Day

30.46%

unchanged at 0.00%

1 Week

30.46%

unchanged at 0.00%

1 Month

30.46%

unchanged at 0.00%

Analysis last updated: Monday, July 27, 2026 at 09:34 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Fundstrat Granny Shots US Small- & Mid-Cap ETF S0GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 18, 2025 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 3 trading days.

τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.9613
5.66***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7866
0.96
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.1547
-0.19

Persistence:

0.787

Half-life:

3 days