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V-Lab

FT Vest US EQ MO BU ETF July MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

6.76%

decreased by 0.39%

1 Week

6.87%

decreased by 0.28%

1 Month

7.24%

increased by 0.09%

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 09:32 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of FT Vest US EQ MO BU ETF July MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 24, 2023 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

106
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8519
59.46***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.2381
19.90***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.2898
0.00
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0000
0.00
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0000
0.00

Persistence:

0.971

Half-life:

24 days