V-Lab
FT Vest US EQ MO BU ETF July MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
6.76%
decreased by 0.39%
1 Week
6.87%
decreased by 0.28%
1 Month
7.24%
increased by 0.09%
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 09:32 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jul 24, 2023 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 106 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8519 | 59.46*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.2381 | 19.90*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.2898 | 0.00 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
Persistence:
0.971
Half-life:
24 days
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