V-Lab
FT Vest US EQ MO BU ETF July GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, September 14th, 2026
1 Day
5.39%
decreased by 0.23%
1 Week
5.58%
decreased by 0.04%
1 Month
6.16%
increased by 0.54%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, September 12, 2026 at 02:16 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jul 24, 2023 to Sep 11, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 24 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 24 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 24-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.0075 | 1.26 |
| αARCH | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
| βGARCH | 0.8613 | 12.82*** |
| γleverage | 0.2200 | 2.43** |
0.971
Persistence24d
Half-lifeσ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0075 | 1.26 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8613 | 12.82*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.2200 | 2.43** |
Persistence:
0.971
Half-life:
24 days
Other FT Vest US EQ MO BU ETF July Analyses
Other GJR-GARCH Analyses on ETFs