V-Lab
FT Vest US EQ MO BU ETF July GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
6.51%
decreased by 0.34%
1 Week
6.61%
decreased by 0.24%
1 Month
6.92%
increased by 0.07%
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 09:31 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jul 24, 2023 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 24 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 24 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0073 | 4.88*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8652 | 51.56*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.2132 | 9.29*** |
Persistence:
0.972
Half-life:
24 days
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