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FT Vest US EQ MO BU ETF July GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, September 14th, 2026

1 Day

5.39%

decreased by 0.23%

1 Week

5.58%

decreased by 0.04%

1 Month

6.16%

increased by 0.54%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, September 12, 2026 at 02:16 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of FT Vest US EQ MO BU ETF July GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 24, 2023 to Sep 11, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 24 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 24 days.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 24-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0075
1.26
αARCH0.0000
0.00
βGARCH0.8613
12.82***
γleverage0.2200
2.43**

0.971

Persistence

24d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0075
1.26
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8613
12.82***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.2200
2.43**

Persistence:

0.971

Half-life:

24 days