First Eagle US Equity ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, October 20th, 2026
1 Day
11.94%
unchanged at 0.00%
1 Week
11.94%
unchanged at 0.00%
1 Month
11.94%
unchanged at 0.00%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, October 20, 2026 at 02:32 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 27, 2026 to Oct 16, 2026σ
GJR-GARCH Model
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| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.5653 | 0.02 |
| αARCH | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
| βGARCH | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
| γleverage | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
0.000
Persistence-
Half-lifeσ
GJR-GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.5653 | 0.02 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
Persistence:
0.000
Half-life:
-
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