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abrdn Physical Gold Shares ETF MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, September 9th, 2026

1 Day

24.93%

decreased by 0.55%

1 Week

24.67%

decreased by 0.81%

1 Month

23.70%

decreased by 1.78%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, September 8, 2026 at 10:42 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of abrdn Physical Gold Shares ETF MEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 14, 2009 to Sep 4, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 36 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 36 days.

μ

MEM Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 36-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0205
1.49
αARCH0.0963
5.41***
βGARCH0.8845
63.01***

0.981

Persistence

36d

Half-life
μ

MEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0205
1.49
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0963
5.41***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8845
63.01***

Persistence:

0.981

Half-life:

36 days