Skip to main content
V-Lab

State Street Utilities Select Sector SPDR ETF GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

15.48%

decreased by 0.80%

1 Week

15.57%

decreased by 0.71%

1 Month

15.93%

decreased by 0.35%

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 10:58 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of State Street Utilities Select Sector SPDR ETF GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 22, 1998 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 48 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 48 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 10.09 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.3789
11.37***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0826
32.39***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9857
756.45***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

10.0908
4.42***

Persistence:

0.986

Half-life:

48 days