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V-Lab

State Street SPDR Portfolio S&P 500 Value ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

10.76%

decreased by 0.35%

1 Week

11.03%

decreased by 0.08%

1 Month

11.95%

increased by 0.84%

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 21, 2026 at 10:48 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of State Street SPDR Portfolio S&P 500 Value ETF GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 2, 2000 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 34 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 34 days.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0214
19.02***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8944
435.88***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1707
31.32***

Persistence:

0.980

Half-life:

34 days