V-Lab
Kurv Gold Enhanced Incom ETF Asy. Power MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 17th, 2026
1 Day
22.38%
1 Week
21.33%
1 Month
18.91%
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 14, 2026 at 09:29 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jul 8, 2025 to Aug 14, 2026Model Insight
This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 31% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets. The volatility power δ = 0.50 sits below 2, so large shocks influence volatility less than quadratically, a more outlier-robust response than standard GARCH.
APMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0790 | 6.16*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2154 | 10.25*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7449 | 45.81*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.2661 | -4.28*** |
δ power Transformation power | 0.5000 | 5.83*** |
Persistence:
0.920
Half-life:
8 days
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