V-Lab
Genter Capital TAX Qlty Inmd GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026
1 Day
3.63%
increased by 0.01%
1 Week
3.69%
increased by 0.07%
1 Month
3.72%
increased by 0.10%
Analysis last updated: Monday, August 24, 2026 at 09:37 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
May 22, 2024 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 1 trading day, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 1 day.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0287 | 4.21*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0811 | 1.82* |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.4403 | 3.56*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0811 | -1.74* |
Persistence:
0.481
Half-life:
1 days
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