V-Lab
Genter Capital TAX Qlty Inmd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026
1 Day
3.59%
increased by 0.05%
1 Week
3.69%
increased by 0.15%
1 Month
3.74%
increased by 0.20%
Analysis last updated: Monday, August 24, 2026 at 09:37 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
May 22, 2024 to Aug 21, 2026σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 36 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1774 | 1.36 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.1184 | 2.19** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1774 | -1.29 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0115 | 0.02 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0399 | 0.02 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.7634 | 0.07 |
Persistence:
0.207
Half-life:
0 days
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