Canary Litecoin Etf GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, October 19th, 2026
1 Day
48.79%
decreased by 2.91%
1 Week
49.69%
decreased by 2.01%
1 Month
52.62%
increased by 0.92%
Analysis last updated: Friday, October 16, 2026 at 10:07 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 27, 2025 to Oct 16, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 27 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 27 days.
σ
GARCH Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 27-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.4212 | 1.46 |
| αARCH | 0.1503 | 2.00** |
| βGARCH | 0.8242 | 12.27*** |
0.974
Persistence27d
Half-lifeσ
GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.4212 | 1.46 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1503 | 2.00** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8242 | 12.27*** |
Persistence:
0.974
Half-life:
27 days
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