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Janus Henderson B-BBB CLO ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, September 9th, 2026

1 Day

2.08%

increased by 0.03%

1 Week

2.29%

increased by 0.24%

1 Month

3.01%

increased by 0.96%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, September 8, 2026 at 10:21 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Janus Henderson B-BBB CLO ETF GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 12, 2022 to Sep 4, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 1.000, volatility shocks have a half-life of 693147 trading days (~2750.6 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Leverage: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 1.000, shock half-life ~693147 daysLeverage: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0019
2.45**
αARCH0.0449
1.57
βGARCH0.8585
29.96***
γleverage0.1933
2.49**

1.000

Persistence

693147d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0019
2.45**
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0449
1.57
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8585
29.96***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1933
2.49**

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

693147 days