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Janus Henderson B-BBB CLO ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, September 30th, 2026

1 Day

3.14%

increased by 0.75%

1 Week

3.28%

increased by 0.89%

1 Month

3.80%

increased by 1.41%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, September 29, 2026 at 09:19 PM UTC

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graph of Janus Henderson B-BBB CLO ETF GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 12, 2022 to Sep 25, 2026

Model Insight

Estimated persistence of 1.000 is at or above 1 (non-stationary): volatility shocks do not decay and the long-run variance is undefined, so long-horizon forecasts should be treated with caution.

Leverage: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

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High persistence: persistence 1.000 ≥ 1, shocks do not decayLeverage: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0018
2.46**
αARCH0.0450
1.57
βGARCH0.8591
30.24***
γleverage0.1917
2.50**

1.000

Persistence

-

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0018
2.46**
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0450
1.57
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8591
30.24***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1917
2.50**

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

-