Leverage Shares 2X Long CIFR Daily ETF GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, November 10th, 2026
1 Day
305.66%
decreased by 72.79%
1 Week
277.37%
decreased by 101.08%
1 Month
247.51%
decreased by 130.94%
Analysis last updated: Monday, November 9, 2026 at 10:24 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 11, 2025 to Nov 6, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 2 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 2 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 200.00 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.
𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
Tap to view equation
Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 2-day half-lifev = 200.00 · fat tails
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωlong-run | 218.0738 | 5.51*** |
| αscore | 0.1895 | 1.05 |
| βpersistence | 0.7179 | 3.81*** |
| νDF | 200.0000 | 0.01 |
0.718
Persistence2d
Half-life𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω long-run Long-run variance given a price move | 218.0738 | 5.51*** |
α score Weight on the scaled score | 0.1895 | 1.05 |
β persistence Volatility persistence | 0.7179 | 3.81*** |
ν DF Student-t tail thickness | 200.0000 | 0.01 |
Persistence:
0.718
Half-life:
2 days
Other Leverage Shares 2X Long CIFR Daily ETF Analyses
Other GAS-GARCH Student T Analyses on ETFs