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Leverage Shares 2X Long CIFR Daily ETF GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, November 10th, 2026

1 Day

305.66%

decreased by 72.79%

1 Week

277.37%

decreased by 101.08%

1 Month

247.51%

decreased by 130.94%

Analysis last updated: Monday, November 9, 2026 at 10:24 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

11/09/2024

to

11/09/2026

6M ·

All

graph of Leverage Shares 2X Long CIFR Daily ETF GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 11, 2025 to Nov 6, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 2 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 2 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 200.00 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 2-day half-lifev = 200.00 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωlong-run218.0738
5.51***
αscore0.1895
1.05
βpersistence0.7179
3.81***
νDF200.0000
0.01

0.718

Persistence

2d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

long-run

Long-run variance given a price move

218.0738
5.51***
α

score

Weight on the scaled score

0.1895
1.05
β

persistence

Volatility persistence

0.7179
3.81***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

200.0000
0.01

Persistence:

0.718

Half-life:

2 days