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Sterling Capital Multi-Strategy Income ETF APARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, September 8th, 2026

1 Day

2.96%

decreased by 0.11%

1 Week

2.96%

decreased by 0.11%

1 Month

2.98%

decreased by 0.09%

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 4, 2026 at 09:29 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Sterling Capital Multi-Strategy Income ETF APARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 11, 2025 to Sep 4, 2026
Boundary Parameters

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 14 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 14 days. The volatility power δ = 1.16 sits below 2, so large shocks influence volatility less than quadratically, a more outlier-robust response than standard GARCH.

σ

APARCH Model

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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 14-day half-lifeδ = 1.16 · sub-quadratic power
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0070
0.33
αARCH0.0477
0.20
βGARCH0.9089
11.16***
γleverage1.0000
0.13
δpower1.1632
0.91

0.952

Persistence

14d

Half-life
σ

APARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0070
0.33
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0477
0.20
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9089
11.16***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

1.0000
0.13
δ

power

Transformation power

1.1632
0.91

Persistence:

0.952

Half-life:

14 days