V-Lab
21Shares Solana ETF EGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026
1 Day
49.19%
decreased by 2.14%
1 Week
50.22%
decreased by 1.11%
1 Month
53.10%
increased by 1.77%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 8, 2026 at 02:17 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 19, 2025 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.
σ
EGARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.1661 | 1.38 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1280 | 4.13*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9362 | 30.97*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1266 | -5.47*** |
Persistence:
0.936
Half-life:
11 days
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