CIBC MSCI Emerging Markets Equity Index ETF Asy. Power MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 20th, 2026
1 Day
41.60%
increased by 17.62%
1 Week
40.36%
increased by 16.38%
1 Month
37.80%
increased by 13.82%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, July 18, 2026 at 09:40 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Sep 23, 2021 to Jul 17, 2026Boundary Parameters
Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible. The volatility power δ = 2.58 sits above 2, so large shocks influence volatility more than quadratically, dominating the response more than in standard GARCH.
μ
APMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.0000 | 3.75*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1497 | 4.80*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.5481 | 14.37*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.5901 | 11.84*** |
δ power Transformation power | 2.5762 | 6.51*** |
Persistence:
0.874
Half-life:
5 days
Other CIBC MSCI Emerging Markets Equity Index ETF Analyses
Other Asy. Power MEM Analyses on ETFs