Skip to main content
V-Lab
V-Lab

CIBC MSCI Emerging Markets Equity Index ETF Asy. Power MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, October 19th, 2026

1 Day

30.13%

increased by 3.67%

1 Week

31.54%

increased by 5.08%

1 Month

35.01%

increased by 8.55%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, October 17, 2026 at 09:02 AM UTC

Press Delete or Backspace to remove this series.
Date Range:

from

10/16/2024

to

10/16/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of CIBC MSCI Emerging Markets Equity Index ETF APMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 23, 2021 to Oct 16, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible. The volatility power δ = 2.57 sits above 2, so large shocks influence volatility more than quadratically, dominating the response more than in standard GARCH.

μ

APMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocksδ = 2.57 · super-quadratic power
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.6402
1.19
αARCH0.2380
2.37**
βGARCH0.5690
4.60***
γleverage0.3395
2.96***
δpower2.5706
1.82*

0.943

Persistence

12d

Half-life
μ

APMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.6402
1.19
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2380
2.37**
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.5690
4.60***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.3395
2.96***
δ

power

Transformation power

2.5706
1.82*

Persistence:

0.943

Half-life:

12 days