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CIBC MSCI Emerging Markets Equity Index ETF APARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, September 15th, 2026

1 Day

21.40%

increased by 1.99%

1 Week

21.71%

increased by 2.30%

1 Month

22.75%

increased by 3.34%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, September 15, 2026 at 09:03 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of CIBC MSCI Emerging Markets Equity Index ETF APARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 17, 2021 to Sep 11, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 30 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 30 days.

σ

APARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 30-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0656
1.39
αARCH0.1234
3.53***
βGARCH0.8561
18.51***
γleverage0.1105
0.68
δpower1.9198
2.64***

0.977

Persistence

30d

Half-life
σ

APARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0656
1.39
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1234
3.53***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8561
18.51***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1105
0.68
δ

power

Transformation power

1.9198
2.64***

Persistence:

0.977

Half-life:

30 days