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V-Lab

Tradr 2X Short SMR Daily ETF Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, October 19th, 2026

1 Day

78.65%

decreased by 3.36%

1 Week

86.08%

increased by 4.07%

1 Month

104.48%

increased by 22.47%

Analysis last updated: Friday, October 16, 2026 at 09:48 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/16/2024

to

10/16/2026

6M ·

All

graph of Tradr 2X Short SMR Daily ETF AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 11, 2026 to Oct 16, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 13 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 13 days.

μ

AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 13-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst3.8560
1.07
αARCH0.1205
0.99
βGARCH0.7746
6.76***
γleverage0.1044
0.44

0.947

Persistence

13d

Half-life
μ

AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

3.8560
1.07
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1205
0.99
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7746
6.76***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1044
0.44

Persistence:

0.947

Half-life:

13 days