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V-Lab
V-Lab

Grayscale Dogecoin Trust Doge ETF MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, September 16th, 2026

1 Day

55.03%

increased by 6.39%

1 Week

54.34%

increased by 5.70%

1 Month

52.15%

increased by 3.51%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, September 16, 2026 at 02:48 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Grayscale Dogecoin Trust Doge ETF MEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 24, 2025 to Sep 11, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 17 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 17 days.

μ

MEM Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 17-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.3326
1.13
αARCH0.2031
1.86*
βGARCH0.7563
5.54***

0.959

Persistence

17d

Half-life
μ

MEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.3326
1.13
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2031
1.86*
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7563
5.54***

Persistence:

0.959

Half-life:

17 days