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V-Lab
V-Lab

Grayscale Dogecoin Trust Doge ETF GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, October 19th, 2026

1 Day

56.81%

decreased by 1.74%

1 Week

57.43%

decreased by 1.12%

1 Month

59.38%

increased by 0.83%

Analysis last updated: Friday, October 16, 2026 at 10:44 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/16/2024

to

10/16/2026

6M ·

All

graph of Grayscale Dogecoin Trust Doge ETF GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 24, 2025 to Oct 16, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 21 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 21 days.

σ

GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 21-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.5554
0.89
αARCH0.0826
2.59***
βGARCH0.8853
14.98***

0.968

Persistence

21d

Half-life
σ

GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.5554
0.89
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0826
2.59***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8853
14.98***

Persistence:

0.968

Half-life:

21 days