Skip to main content
V-Lab
V-Lab

Defiance Daily Target 2X Long LUNR ETF MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, September 8th, 2026

1 Day

152.91%

decreased by 8.74%

1 Week

159.12%

decreased by 2.53%

1 Month

180.23%

increased by 18.58%

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 4, 2026 at 09:23 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Defiance Daily Target 2X Long LUNR ETF MEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 13, 2026 to Sep 4, 2026
Boundary Parameters

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 58 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 58 days.

μ

MEM Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 58-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst5.0000
0.16
αARCH0.1777
1.56
βGARCH0.8103
11.22***

0.988

Persistence

58d

Half-life
μ

MEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.0000
0.16
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1777
1.56
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8103
11.22***

Persistence:

0.988

Half-life:

58 days