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V-Lab

iShares MSCI USA Momentum Factor ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 26th, 2026

1 Day

25.95%

decreased by 1.94%

1 Week

25.77%

decreased by 2.12%

1 Month

25.13%

decreased by 2.76%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 09:18 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of iShares MSCI USA Momentum Factor ETF GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 18, 2013 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 376% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0378
19.15***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0453
6.30***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8484
204.82***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1702
14.97***

Persistence:

0.979

Half-life:

32 days