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V-Lab

State Street SPDR S&P Biotech ETF Asy. Power MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 21st, 2026

1 Day

36.85%

increased by 3.39%

1 Week

33.59%

increased by 0.13%

1 Month

26.08%

decreased by 7.38%

Analysis last updated: Monday, July 20, 2026 at 09:52 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of State Street SPDR S&P Biotech ETF APMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 6, 2006 to Jul 17, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a modest leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 29% more than equivalent positive returns. The volatility power δ = 0.71 sits below 2, so large shocks influence volatility less than quadratically, a more outlier-robust response than standard GARCH.

μ

APMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0677
30.79***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2082
58.22***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7616
195.53***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1763
29.74***
δ

power

Transformation power

0.7120
19.67***

Persistence:

0.927

Half-life:

9 days