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V-Lab

State Street SPDR S&P Biotech ETF EGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, July 22nd, 2026

1 Day

31.57%

decreased by 0.75%

1 Week

31.52%

decreased by 0.80%

1 Month

31.34%

decreased by 0.98%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 21, 2026 at 09:54 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of State Street SPDR S&P Biotech ETF EGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 6, 2006 to Jul 17, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 299% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

EGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0332
10.74***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1299
28.88***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9746
721.39***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0779
-19.60***

Persistence:

0.975

Half-life:

27 days