V-Lab
TrueShares Eagle Global Next Gen Power Infrastructure ETF APARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, August 6th, 2026
1 Day
15.97%
increased by 0.73%
1 Week
16.28%
increased by 1.04%
1 Month
16.68%
increased by 1.44%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, August 6, 2026 at 02:17 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 9, 2022 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 3 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 3 days. The volatility power δ = 2.19 sits above 2, so large shocks influence volatility more than quadratically, dominating the response more than in standard GARCH.
σ
APARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.2263 | 5.10*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0839 | 5.59*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7120 | 14.55*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0226 | -0.39 |
δ power Transformation power | 2.1911 | 8.24*** |
Persistence:
0.802
Half-life:
3 days
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