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V-Lab
V-Lab

TrueShares Eagle Global Next Gen Power Infrastructure ETF Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, October 19th, 2026

1 Day

12.92%

increased by 0.44%

1 Week

13.02%

increased by 0.54%

1 Month

13.17%

increased by 0.69%

Analysis last updated: Friday, October 16, 2026 at 09:46 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/16/2024

to

10/16/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of TrueShares Eagle Global Next Gen Power Infrastructure ETF SGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 9, 2022 to Oct 16, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 4 trading days.

τ

Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Time-varying baseline: volatility reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.9578
10.73***
αARCH0.0844
1.66*
βGARCH0.7395
4.75***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0824
-1.38

0.824

Persistence

4d

Half-life
τ

Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.9578
10.73***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0844
1.66*
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7395
4.75***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0824
-1.38

Persistence:

0.824

Half-life:

4 days