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V-Lab

TrueShares Eagle Global Next Gen Power Infrastructure ETF Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, August 6th, 2026

1 Day

16.99%

increased by 1.02%

1 Week

17.35%

increased by 1.38%

1 Month

17.73%

increased by 1.76%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, August 6, 2026 at 02:17 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of TrueShares Eagle Global Next Gen Power Infrastructure ETF SGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 9, 2022 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 2 trading days.

τ

Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.8023
8.70***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1079
1.44
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6311
3.05***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=2
γ1-0.4403
-2.46**
γ20.7949
2.15**

Persistence:

0.739

Half-life:

2 days