TrueShares Eagle Global Next Gen Power Infrastructure ETF AGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, October 19th, 2026
1 Day
15.53%
increased by 0.75%
1 Week
15.83%
increased by 1.05%
1 Month
16.28%
increased by 1.50%
Analysis last updated: Friday, October 16, 2026 at 09:46 PM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 9, 2022 to Oct 16, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 4 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 4 days.
σ
AGARCH Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 4-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.1829 | 1.66* |
| αARCH | 0.0912 | 1.77* |
| βGARCH | 0.7388 | 5.24*** |
| γleverage | -0.1515 | -0.44 |
0.830
Persistence4d
Half-lifeσ
AGARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.1829 | 1.66* |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0912 | 1.77* |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7388 | 5.24*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1515 | -0.44 |
Persistence:
0.830
Half-life:
4 days
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