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V-Lab

TrueShares Eagle Global Next Gen Power Infrastructure ETF GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, October 22nd, 2026

1 Day

17.10%

decreased by 0.36%

1 Week

16.93%

decreased by 0.53%

1 Month

16.59%

decreased by 0.87%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 22, 2026 at 02:22 AM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/21/2024

to

10/21/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of TrueShares Eagle Global Next Gen Power Infrastructure ETF GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 9, 2022 to Oct 16, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 5 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 5 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 6.41 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 5-day half-lifev = 6.41 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωlong-run1.0640
2.33**
αscore0.0543
1.30
βpersistence0.8717
12.76***
νDF6.4084
0.18

0.872

Persistence

5d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

long-run

Long-run variance given a price move

1.0640
2.33**
α

score

Weight on the scaled score

0.0543
1.30
β

persistence

Volatility persistence

0.8717
12.76***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

6.4084
0.18

Persistence:

0.872

Half-life:

5 days