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V-Lab

TrueShares Eagle Global Next Gen Power Infrastructure ETF GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, October 19th, 2026

1 Day

15.39%

increased by 0.47%

1 Week

15.62%

increased by 0.70%

1 Month

16.04%

increased by 1.12%

Analysis last updated: Friday, October 16, 2026 at 09:46 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/16/2024

to

10/16/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of TrueShares Eagle Global Next Gen Power Infrastructure ETF GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 9, 2022 to Oct 16, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 5 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 5 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 6.41 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 5-day half-lifev = 6.41 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.0640
2.33**
αARCH0.0543
1.30
βGARCH0.8717
12.76***
νDF6.4084
0.18

0.872

Persistence

5d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.0640
2.33**
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0543
1.30
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8717
12.76***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

6.4084
0.18

Persistence:

0.872

Half-life:

5 days