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V-Lab

TrueShares Eagle Global Next Gen Power Infrastructure ETF GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, September 15th, 2026

1 Day

17.36%

increased by 2.13%

1 Week

17.15%

increased by 1.92%

1 Month

16.76%

increased by 1.53%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, September 15, 2026 at 02:17 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of TrueShares Eagle Global Next Gen Power Infrastructure ETF GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 9, 2022 to Sep 11, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 5 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 5 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 6.51 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 5-day half-lifev = 6.51 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.0698
2.36**
αARCH0.0554
1.36
βGARCH0.8735
13.02***
νDF6.5078
0.18

0.874

Persistence

5d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.0698
2.36**
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0554
1.36
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8735
13.02***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

6.5078
0.18

Persistence:

0.874

Half-life:

5 days