V-Lab
TrueShares Eagle Global Next Gen Power Infrastructure ETF Asy. Power MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, September 8th, 2026
1 Day
14.85%
1 Week
21.96%
1 Month
29.30%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, September 5, 2026 at 02:16 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 9, 2022 to Sep 4, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 2 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 2 days. The volatility power δ = 0.50 sits below 2, so large shocks influence volatility less than quadratically, a more outlier-robust response than standard GARCH.
APMEM Model
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| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.3951 | 2.92*** |
| αARCH | 0.2193 | 1.59 |
| βGARCH | 0.5421 | 3.91*** |
| γleverage | 0.0814 | 0.15 |
| δpower | 0.5000 | 1.29 |
0.722
Persistence2d
Half-lifeAPMEM Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.3951 | 2.92*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2193 | 1.59 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.5421 | 3.91*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0814 | 0.15 |
δ power Transformation power | 0.5000 | 1.29 |
Persistence:
0.722
Half-life:
2 days
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