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BetaPro NASDAQ-100 2x Daily Bull ETF APARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, September 15th, 2026

1 Day

36.24%

increased by 2.75%

1 Week

37.01%

increased by 3.52%

1 Month

39.51%

increased by 6.02%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, September 15, 2026 at 09:06 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of BetaPro NASDAQ-100 2x Daily Bull ETF APARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 18, 2008 to Sep 11, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible. The volatility power δ = 0.87 sits below 2, so large shocks influence volatility less than quadratically, a more outlier-robust response than standard GARCH.

σ

APARCH Model

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Leverage: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocksδ = 0.87 · sub-quadratic power
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0914
5.84***
αARCH0.1037
7.33***
βGARCH0.8860
63.88***
γleverage0.8049
4.18***
δpower0.8663
5.92***

0.965

Persistence

19d

Half-life
σ

APARCH Model

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ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0914
5.84***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1037
7.33***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8860
63.88***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.8049
4.18***
δ

power

Transformation power

0.8663
5.92***

Persistence:

0.965

Half-life:

19 days