iShares 10-20 Year Treasury Bond ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, April 15th, 2026
1 Day
3.99%
decreased by 3.57%
1 Week
6.46%
decreased by 1.10%
1 Month
13.36%
increased by 5.80%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, April 14, 2026 at 10:21 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 26 | ||
| 0.6999 | 6,999,080.00 | |
| 0.0501 | 500,920.00 | |
| 0.5000 | 5,000,000.00 | |
| 0.0424 | 57.59 | |
| 0.9429 | 18,132.73 | |
| 0.0000 | 0.02 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 11, 2007 to Apr 10, 2026
Jan 11, 2007 to Apr 10, 2026
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