iShares 10-20 Year Treasury Bond ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, May 26th, 2026
1 Day
-0.00%
decreased by 7.78%
1 Week
4.28%
decreased by 3.50%
1 Month
10.83%
increased by 3.05%
Analysis last updated: Friday, May 22, 2026 at 10:54 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 26 | ||
| 0.7068 | 7,067,550.00 | |
| 0.0432 | 432,450.00 | |
| 0.5000 | 5,000,000.00 | |
| 0.0429 | 6.99 | |
| 0.9423 | 31.25 | |
| 0.0000 | 0.00 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 11, 2007 to May 22, 2026
Jan 11, 2007 to May 22, 2026
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