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V-Lab
V-Lab

Calamos Autocallable INM ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, September 21st, 2026

1 Day

9.89%

decreased by 0.12%

1 Week

10.43%

increased by 0.42%

1 Month

10.57%

increased by 0.56%

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 18, 2026 at 10:37 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

All

graph of Calamos Autocallable INM ETF MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 25, 2025 to Sep 18, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow126
αARCH0.0000
0.00
βGARCH0.1106
1.46
γleverage0.2370
6.85***
λ₁tau intercept0.4466
4.39***
λ₂forecast adj.0.0000
0.00
λ₃tau persistence0.0000
0.00

0.229

Persistence

0d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

126
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.1106
1.46
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.2370
6.85***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.4466
4.39***
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0000
0.00
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0000
0.00

Persistence:

0.229

Half-life:

0 days