V-Lab
Calamos Autocallable INM ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, September 21st, 2026
1 Day
9.89%
decreased by 0.12%
1 Week
10.43%
increased by 0.42%
1 Month
10.57%
increased by 0.56%
Analysis last updated: Friday, September 18, 2026 at 10:37 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 25, 2025 to Sep 18, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
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Leverage: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| mwindow | 126 | |
| αARCH | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
| βGARCH | 0.1106 | 1.46 |
| γleverage | 0.2370 | 6.85*** |
| λ₁tau intercept | 0.4466 | 4.39*** |
| λ₂forecast adj. | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
| λ₃tau persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
0.229
Persistence0d
Half-lifeσ
MF2-GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 126 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.1106 | 1.46 |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.2370 | 6.85*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.4466 | 4.39*** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
Persistence:
0.229
Half-life:
0 days
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