V-Lab
MD Sass Concentrated Value ETF Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 5th, 2026
1 Day
74.31%
unchanged at 0.00%
1 Week
75.38%
increased by 1.07%
1 Month
77.11%
increased by 2.80%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 4, 2026 at 09:46 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Mar 4, 2026 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 4 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 4 days.
μ
AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 3.7430 | 1.44 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0337 | 0.27 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8292 | 12.82*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0337 | -0.25 |
Persistence:
0.846
Half-life:
4 days
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