V-Lab
MD Sass Concentrated Value ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 5th, 2026
1 Day
17.98%
increased by 5.49%
1 Week
17.88%
increased by 5.39%
1 Month
17.04%
increased by 4.55%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 4, 2026 at 09:46 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Mar 4, 2026 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 13 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 13 days.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 26 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0948 | |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7672 | |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1684 | |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.3453 | |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.1505 | |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.3436 |
Persistence:
0.946
Half-life:
13 days
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