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V-Lab

MD Sass Concentrated Value ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 5th, 2026

1 Day

17.98%

increased by 5.49%

1 Week

17.88%

increased by 5.39%

1 Month

17.04%

increased by 4.55%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 4, 2026 at 09:46 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of MD Sass Concentrated Value ETF MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 4, 2026 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 13 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 13 days.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

26
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0948
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7672
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1684
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.3453
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.1505
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.3436

Persistence:

0.946

Half-life:

13 days