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V-Lab

Bitwise Proficio Currency Debasement ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 26th, 2026

1 Day

32.68%

decreased by 0.37%

1 Week

37.39%

increased by 4.34%

1 Month

40.11%

increased by 7.06%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 26, 2026 at 02:18 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Bitwise Proficio Currency Debasement ETF MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 22, 2026 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

51
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.0000
0.01
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.5000
46.97***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

1.5402
1.84*
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

1.0000
1.65*
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0000
0.00

Persistence:

0.250

Half-life:

1 days