V-Lab
Bitwise Proficio Currency Debasement ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 26th, 2026
1 Day
32.68%
decreased by 0.37%
1 Week
37.39%
increased by 4.34%
1 Month
40.11%
increased by 7.06%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 26, 2026 at 02:18 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 22, 2026 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 51 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.0000 | 0.01 |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.5000 | 46.97*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 1.5402 | 1.84* |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 1.0000 | 1.65* |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
Persistence:
0.250
Half-life:
1 days
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