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-1x Short VIX Futures ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

62.00%

decreased by 9.46%

1 Week

63.01%

decreased by 8.45%

1 Month

65.01%

decreased by 6.45%

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 09:40 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of -1x Short VIX Futures ETF MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 29, 2022 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

101
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6578
57.21***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.4665
34.07***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.5808
0.57
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0186
0.84
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9503
12.52***

Persistence:

0.891

Half-life:

6 days