V-Lab
-1x Short VIX Futures ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
36.92%
decreased by 0.72%
1 Week
43.58%
increased by 5.94%
1 Month
55.06%
increased by 17.42%
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 21, 2026 at 09:38 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Mar 29, 2022 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 106 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6624 | 60.50*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.4534 | 35.93*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 9.4385 | 0.22 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.4693 | 0.23 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
Persistence:
0.889
Half-life:
6 days
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