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V-Lab

iShares Select U.S. REIT ETF Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, November 10th, 2026

1 Day

22.05%

increased by 0.21%

1 Week

22.09%

increased by 0.25%

1 Month

22.27%

increased by 0.43%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, November 10, 2026 at 03:15 AM UTC

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Date Range:

from

11/09/2024

to

11/09/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of iShares Select U.S. REIT ETF S0GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 2, 2001 to Nov 6, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 50 trading days.

τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Time-varying baseline: volatility reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.7015
7.11***
αARCH0.1077
10.02***
βGARCH0.8785
77.26***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0005
-1.63

0.986

Persistence

50d

Half-life
τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.7015
7.11***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1077
10.02***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8785
77.26***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0005
-1.63

Persistence:

0.986

Half-life:

50 days